Interactive visualization of our Risk-Adjusted Opportunity scores. Darker regions indicate structural risks, while gold highlights areas of high opportunity. Hover over a country to view its specific regime classification.
Countries are classified into RAO regimes based on their level of opportunity (measured by the mean RAO score) and the stability of outcomes (measured by volatility and downside risk). There are four primary regimes:
Countries with positive mean scores and low volatility. Opportunity is high and outcomes are stable.
Countries with high mean scores but elevated volatility or downside risk. Opportunity exists but is exposed to shocks.
Countries with low volatility but weak or negative mean scores. Conditions are stable but growth potential is limited.
Countries with negative mean scores and material downside risk. Fragility dominates opportunity.
Note: Countries are slotted into regimes using thresholds derived from the empirical distribution of scores rather than fixed global cut-offs. This allows the classification to adapt as the global environment changes.