Geoeconomic Strategy Unit

Live Global Intelligence

The Risk-Adjusted Opportunity Framework scores 162 countries by combining structural opportunity, macroeconomic stability, absorptive capacity, and momentum — surfacing markets where fundamentals are strengthening before capital has followed.

RAO Score (1–10)
LowHigh
Top 10 Countries
Bottom 10 Countries
Global RAO Trends 2010–Latest
Score Distribution
Regional Overview
Select a country to begin detailed analysis
Presets:
Quick Screens:
Regime: TOS ≥ 0.00
Score Range
0.0 to 10.0
Tier Filter
Percentile
Region
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Countries Shown
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Average Score
0.00 - 0.00
Score Range
Regional Breakdown
Score Distribution
Rank Country RAO Score ? Percentile Opportunity ? Stability ? Region Regime TOS Δ YoY
RAO Experimentation Console
Adjust pillar & variable weights · Real-time re-ranking · Bayesian Monte Carlo CVaR₂₅
Hide Analytics
Pillar Blend Weights
Σ = 4.00
Variable Weights
Scoring Methods
Pipeline Overlays
Bayesian Simulation LINEAR BLEND
TOS Sub-Signals
Δ Rank ≥ 3
Biggest Riser
Biggest Faller
Rank Correlation ρ
Score RMSE
Simplified linear blend — excludes full CVaR/TOS pipeline. Enable Bayesian Simulation for Monte Carlo CVaR₂₅.
Rankings
Scatter
Distribution
Sensitivity
# Country Exp Score Δ Rank Δ Score
X = Original RAO · Y = Experimental RAO · Colour = regime · Click a point to open Country Analysis
Score distribution — Original (gold) vs Experimental (blue)
Rank change if pillar weight +0.1 · Green = rises · Red = falls · Top 30 by experimental rank
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Score Intelligence
Descriptive statistics, score distribution, and tier structure across 162 countries · 2025 cross-section
Global RAO Statistics
Mean
Median
Std Dev
Range
IQR
CV
Min
Max
Skewness
Score Distribution
Regional Performance
Score Tier Breakdown
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Regime Landscape
Investment regime positioning, archetype clusters, structural transitions, and pillar leaders
Regime × Trade-off Signal Positioning
X = TOS score (0–1) · Y = RAO score · Size = volatility band · Colour = regime · Click a point to open Country Analysis
Archetype Cluster Map
Opportunity vs Absorptive Capacity · Colour = archetype
Regime Transition Tracker
Pillar Leaders & Laggards · 2025
Opportunity Leaders
Stability Leaders
Opportunity Laggards
Stability Laggards
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Structural Drivers
Variable-level distributions, pillar performance statistics, and cross-variable correlations
Variable Explorer
Select Variable
Pillar Performance Matrix · Global Statistics
Normalised Variable Correlation Heatmap · 22 × 22
Pearson r across the 2025 cross-section for all normalised input variables
Pillar Correlation Heatmap
0.0+
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Signals & Momentum
Regional trend lines, pre-breakout detection, trajectory classification, and statistical anomalies
Regional Mean RAO Trends · 2010–2025
Structural divergence across regions over 15 years of panel data
Pre-Breakout Signal Leaders · Top 10 by TOS
Click a country to open Country Analysis
Trajectory Distribution · 2025
Classification of country momentum trajectories
Stability Analysis
Analyzing…
The RAO assistant can make mistakes and does not provide investment advice. Verify critical figures before acting on them.
GSU Geoeconomic Strategy Unit

Where capital should go next.

The Risk-Adjusted Opportunity framework scores 162 countries across structural opportunity, macroeconomic stability, absorptive capacity and momentum — surfacing markets where fundamentals are strengthening before capital has followed.

162 markets · 2010 to present
Four-pillar decomposition & regime classification
Trajectory signals, not lagging headline risk
GSU
or
Personal
Full depth on the markets you choose — country analysis, side-by-side comparison and the complete rankings table.
Enterprise
All 162 markets, the full history, the analytics suite and the AI research assistant.
No payment now · our team will be in touch to finalise
Country Filter
Choose which countries to include. Uploaded countries appear automatically.
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Variable Manager
Drag chips between pillars · Changes apply on click Apply